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Why Fed's Rate Cut Keeps Bitcoin in Fragile Range Under $100K

Why Fed's Rate Cut Keeps Bitcoin in Fragile Range Under $100K

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bitcoin hovers around $93,000 in December 2025, reflecting caution despite the Fed's third consecutive rate cut. This action underscores tensions between inflation control and employment goals. Traders anticipate volatility as centralized finance adapts to shifting liquidity.

Fed's Conflicted Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 10, 2025, setting the target range at 3.5% to 3.75%. This move marks the third straight reduction amid a divided committee vote.

According to NPR, the Fed aims to bolster a softening job market with this adjustment. Uncertainty lingers due to economic data gaps from recent disruptions.

Business Insider notes that Fed members showed the most division seen all year in this decision. Such splits signal caution in monetary policy amid mixed signals.

Economic Context Behind the Cut

Growth has slowed while unemployment has risen slightly, per CCN. Inflation remains above the 2% target, complicating further actions.

The Guardian highlights the divisive vote among the committee, which typically acts unanimously. This reflects broader debates on U.S. economic health.

bitcoin's Fragile Range

bitcoin trades in a narrow band between $92,000 and $94,000, as reported by Brave New Coin. This range pins BTC below the key $100,000 level despite rate cut expectations.

TradingView analysis points to structurally fragile conditions with expanding unrealized losses. Realized losses hit $555 million recently, adding pressure.

AInvest warns that a breakout above $93,000 to $94,000 is essential for upward momentum, but thin volume poses risks. market participants monitor for signs of reversal.

Impact on Centralized Finance and Markets

Rate cuts generally increase liquidity, benefiting risk assets in centralized finance platforms. However, the conflicted Fed stance tempers enthusiasm in crypto markets.

Forbes observes that speculation around the cut fueled gains, pushing bitcoin near $95,000 briefly. Yet, broader uncertainty caps advances.

CoinDesk states that the expected 25 basis point cut favors assets like bitcoin, but traders brace for volatility. Institutional flows could drive future shifts.

Analyst Perspectives and Trends

Michaël van de Poppe, via The Street, suggests bitcoin may test $100,000 post-decision, citing potential liquidity boosts. This view aligns with historical patterns after cuts.

Nasdaq analysis indicates that while short-term effects vary, long-term institutional adoption drives bitcoin's value. Rate policies play a supporting role.

Decrypt forecasts bitcoin remaining range-bound near $90,000 into year-end before a possible 2026 rally to $135,000, depending on Fed moves. Policy clarity remains key.

market Reactions and Future Outlook

Reuters notes bitcoin's 2025 rollercoaster, influenced by Fed expectations and global factors. Year-end sentiment could sway on additional data.

Finance Yahoo warns that a rate hold might hurt crypto sentiment, while a cut could spark gains. Volatility indexes reflect this tension.

AInvest highlights declining implied volatility for bitcoin, suggesting reduced fear. This could stabilize prices in centralized finance ecosystems.

Economic Times reports an 89% chance of the cut, yet confidence levels are low compared to prior meetings. Such dynamics fuel market debates.

Halogen Capital questions if bitcoin will break $100,000 by Christmas, citing recent reclamations above $90,000. Volume shelves provide support.

Pintu discusses facts supporting a rally to $100,000 in December, despite sell-offs. Macro patterns influence outcomes.

OneSafe.io explores potential corrections versus climbs to $100,000 by 2025's end. Balanced positioning aids investors.

MarketPulse signals bitcoin breaking resistance, eyeing $100,000 next. Rebounds demonstrate resilience.

Barrons reports 's recovery into positive territory for 2025, trading at $93,515. Broader crypto gains follow.

This scenario illustrates how traditional monetary policies intersect with crypto markets, affecting centralized finance strategies. Investors gain from understanding these links to navigate volatility effectively.